Thomas R. Suozzi · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely D

Suozzi is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Suozzi at 89¢ against LiPetri's 12¢, unchanged since July 31. Suozzi leads 3.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Suozzi · Democratic contract

89.0¢

Unchangedsince July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Thomas R. Suozzi by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 94¢ · low 86¢Oct 12

Thomas R. SuozziDemocratic · incumbent

89.0¢

Michael J. LiPetri Jr.Republican

12.0¢

71,174 traded · 62,754 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Suozzi v LiPetri

Metric by metric

Suozzi

LiPetri

89.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

12.0¢

$5.46M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.65M

$5.68M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$719.1K

U.S. Representativesince 2024

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 3rd District

Prior result

D+3.6

2024 general election, won by Thomas R. Suozzi.

Fundraising

3.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.