Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. SENATE / MINNESOTA

Michele Tafoya

Republican · Senate challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY D — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 9.4¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · MINNESOTA U.S. SENATEFull race page →
OPPONENTPeggy Flanagan (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 91.1¢ · R 9.4¢
LATEST POLLD+5<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://x.com/Bencjacobs/status/2090491324717789424" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Deep Root ↗</a> 08-20 · n=597
STANDING · THIS SEAT
1:2fundraising ratio v Craig · FEC period 07-22
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 07-22
$5.29Mraised
$1.33Mcash on hand
· Flanagan: $6.52M / $1.06M CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary08-11 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled · I settled · L settled
Also on the ballot: Rebecca Whiting (Libertarian)
COMPARE V FLANAGAN ⇄