Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / CALIFORNIA

Michael Masuda

Democratic · House challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY R — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 7.2¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 5TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTTom McClintock (R)Incumbent
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 94.4¢ · D 7.2¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
1:3fundraising ratio v McClintock · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$361.7Kraised
$89.5Kcash on hand
· McClintock: $928.8K / $201.5K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Top-two primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
Top-two field settled · both advancers on the November ballot
COMPARE V MCCLINTOCK ⇄