Elections Intelligence

Maggie Goodlander

NH-2U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D to Likely D Likely to win
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What the Signal reads

Likely D

Goodlander is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Goodlander at 95.9¢ against Williams's 7¢, up 0.5¢ since August 3. The polling average has Goodlander ahead by 9.5 points, and Goodlander leads 3.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Goodlander · Democratic contract
95.9¢
▲ 0.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Maggie Goodlander by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98.7¢ · low 92.4¢Oct 12
Maggie GoodlanderDemocratic · incumbent
95.9¢
Lily Tang WilliamsRepublican
7.0¢

9,393 traded · 3,433 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Goodlander v Williams

Metric by metric
Goodlander
Williams
95.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
7.0¢
$4.16M
RaisedFEC, through August 19
$1.20M
$2.70M
Cash on handFEC, through August 19
$627.8K
46%
Latest pollUNH · Sep 21
42%
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New Hampshire 2nd District
Polling average
D+9.5

Average of 2 pollsters, August 18 to September 21.

Prior result
D+6.0

2024 general election, won by Maggie Goodlander.

Fundraising
3.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through August 19.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.