Illinois Governor
DEFENDED SEAT
Also on the ballot: Griselda Romero (G) and Colin Corbett (I).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market has run well past this seat's history — a 13-point Democratic hold in 2022, priced at 97¢ today.
Safe D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Safe DD 97¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Polling · Safe DD+20.3 — Victory Research, Dec 1.Prior result · Likely DD+12.5 in 2022.
Signal clarityHighas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
D 97¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
D+20.3
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
D+12.5
JB PritzkerJuliana Stratton (D)
54.91 — 42.37 · 2022 general election
def. Darren BaileyStephanie Trussell (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
12.2 to 1
JB Pritzker$25.62M
Darren Bailey$2.11M
PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 06-30 · STATE FILING
Total receipts this cycle.