Stephanie I. Bice · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Bice is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Bice at 90.4¢ against Nelson's 11¢, up 1.4¢ since August 3. Bice leads 4.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Bice · Republican contract

90.4¢

▲ 1.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Stephanie I. Bice by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 96.7¢ · low 85¢Oct 12

Stephanie I. BiceRepublican · incumbent

90.4¢

Jena NelsonDemocratic

11.0¢

19,876 traded · 11,692 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bice v Nelson

Metric by metric

Bice

Nelson

90.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

11.0¢

$1.94M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$449.4K

$2.02M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$17.3K

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Oklahoma 5th District

Prior result

R+21.4

2024 general election, won by Stephanie I. Bice.

Fundraising

4.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.