John Duresky
WA-4What the Signal reads
Likely R
Duresky is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Duresky at 7.5¢ against McKinney's 93.6¢, down 2¢ since August 3. McKinney leads 5.4 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Duresky · Democratic contract
7.5¢
▼ 2.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on John Duresky by name.
32,274 traded · 14,819 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Duresky v McKinney
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Washington 4th DistrictPrior result
52.0 to 46.1
Newhouse won 52.0% to 46.1% over another Republican (2024).
Fundraising
5.4 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.