Jefferson Shreve · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Shreve is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Shreve at 97.9¢ against Wirth's 3.4¢, up 1.4¢ since August 3. Shreve leads 65.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Shreve · Republican contract

97.9¢

▲ 1.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jefferson Shreve by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 94.6¢Oct 12

Jefferson ShreveRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

Cynthia WirthDemocratic

3.4¢

2,319 traded · 1,632 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Shreve v Wirth

Metric by metric

Shreve

Wirth

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.4¢

$2.43M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$37.0K

$1.61M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$7.2K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Indiana 6th District

Prior result

R+32.2

2024 general election, won by Jefferson Shreve.

Fundraising

65.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.