Elections Intelligence

Christina Bohannan

IA-1U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely DThe seat Likely to win
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What the Signal reads

Likely D

Bohannan is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Bohannan at 89¢ against Miller-Meeks's 13¢, up 12¢ since July 31. The polling average has Bohannan ahead by 5 points, and the two campaigns have raised about the same.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Bohannan · Democratic contract
89.0¢
▲ 12.0¢since July 31
Jul 3148 daily readings · high 89¢ · low 64¢Oct 12
Christina BohannanDemocratic
89.0¢
Mariannette Miller-MeeksRepublican · incumbent
13.0¢

277,397 traded · 107,541 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bohannan v Miller-Meeks

Metric by metric
Bohannan
Miller-Meeks
89.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
13.0¢
$7.05M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$7.21M
$5.43M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$4.69M
40%
Latest pollThe Bullfinch Group · Jul 16
35%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Iowa 1st District
Latest poll
D+5

The Bullfinch Group, July 16.

Prior result
R+0.2

2024 general election, won by Mariannette Miller-Meeks.

Fundraising
1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.