Elections Intelligence

Wyoming At-Large District

OPEN SEAT
SAFE R
LK
Lisa Kinney Democratic · Open-seat nominee
KALSHI PARTY MARKETCHECKED Aug 27
4.6¢REPUBLICAN 99¢
View market on Kalshi ↗
CG
Chuck Gray Republican · Open-seat nominee
FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 47-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 99¢ today.

Safe R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Safe RR 99¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold. Prior result · Safe RR+47.37 in 2024.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 99¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
R+47.37

Harriet M. Hageman (R)

70.61 — 23.24 · 2024 general election

def. Kyle G. Cameron (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
Chuck Gray$1.38M

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.

BALLOT & DATES Primary 08-18 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026 R settled · D settled COMPARE THE CANDIDATES ⇄