Michael Lawler
Ran for New York's 17th District
Lawler is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Strong D edge. The market prices a Republican hold of the seat at 0¢. The polling average has Conley ahead by 1.1 points, and the two campaigns have raised about the same.
17
The market
↗0.0¢
▼ 31.6¢since August 3
The 2026 race
Polling
D+1.1
The polls had Conley ahead by 1.1 points across 3 pollsters.
Prior result
R+6.3
Lawler won this seat in 2024 by 6.3 points, 52.1% to 45.8%, over Mondaire L. Jones.
Fundraising
1 to 1
Conley raised $10.70M to Lawler's $10.32M through October 14.