Toss-up
Michael Lawler is the sitting U.S. Representative for New York's 17th district and is defending it, a seat the band rates Toss-up. The market prices their contract at 40.0¢ against Conley's 62.0¢, up 8.0¢ across 25 observation days; the latest public poll has them 5 points ahead; and they have raised 1.9 dollars for every one of Conley's.
40.0¢
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Michael Lawler by name.
▲ 8.0¢
since Aug 3
Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.
Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.
DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 111,353 traded · 74,707 open
Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET
40.0¢
62.0¢
$8.17M
1.9:1 against Cait Conley
$4.32M
U.S. Representative
New York's 17th district · since 2025 · defending it
Holds no office
Challenger
50%
5 points ahead
Latest of two public polls
45%