Elections Intelligence

Georgia 2nd District

DEFENDED SEAT
SAFE D
Sanford D. Bishop, Jr. Democratic · Incumbent
KALSHI PARTY MARKETCHECKED Aug 27
DEMOCRAT 99.7¢
View market on Kalshi ↗
Matt Day Republican · Challenger
Also on the ballot: Brandon Daley (other).
FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market has run well past this seat's history — a 13-point Democratic hold in 2024, priced at 99.7¢ today.

Safe D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Safe DD 99.7¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold. Prior result · Likely DD+12.66 in 2024. Fundraising · Lean DD 7.89-to-1 in receipts.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
D 99.7¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
D+12.66

Sanford Bishop (D)

56.33 — 43.67 · 2024 general election

def. A. Wayne Johnson (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
D 7.89 to 1
Sanford D. Bishop, Jr.$1.13M
Matt Day$142.7K

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.

BALLOT & DATES Primary 05-19 · HELDRunoff 06-16 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026 D settled · R settled · other settled COMPARE THE CANDIDATES ⇄