Chris Shea · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Shea is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Shea at 4.9¢ against Hayes's 96.4¢, up 2¢ since August 3. Hayes leads 4.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Shea · Republican contract

4.9¢

▲ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Chris Shea by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 2.9¢Oct 12

Chris SheaRepublican

4.9¢

Jahana HayesDemocratic · incumbent

96.4¢

7,846 traded · 4,189 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Shea v Hayes

Metric by metric

Shea

Hayes

4.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.4¢

$311.7K

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and July 22

$1.29M

$145.6K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and July 22

$1.08M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Connecticut 5th District

Prior result

D+6.8

2024 general election, won by Jahana Hayes.

Fundraising

4.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.