Elections Intelligence

Casey Askar

FL-22U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Toss-up Competitive
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Toss-up

Askar is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Askar at 44¢ against Dandiya's 55¢, down 18¢ since August 3. The polling average is even, and Askar leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Askar · Republican contract
44.0¢
▼ 18.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Casey Askar by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 69¢ · low 44¢Oct 12
Casey AskarRepublican
44.0¢
Pia DandiyaDemocratic
55.0¢

119,738 traded · 56,426 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Askar v Dandiya

Metric by metric
Askar
Dandiya
44.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
55.0¢
$2.57M
RaisedFEC, through July 29
$2.28M
$1.05M
Cash on handFEC, through July 29
$1.30M
44%
Latest pollImpact Research, House Majority PAC sponsor · Aug 31
46%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Florida 22nd District
Polling average
Even

Average of 2 pollsters, August 12 to August 31.

Prior result
D+9.9

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Lois Frankel.

Fundraising
1.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.