Elections Intelligence

Brad Knott

NC-13U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Knott is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Knott at 86¢ against Barringer's 16¢, unchanged since August 3. Knott leads 1.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Knott · Republican contract
86.0¢
Unchangedsince August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Brad Knott by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 91.1¢ · low 85¢Oct 12
Brad KnottRepublican · incumbent
86.0¢
Paul BarringerDemocratic
16.0¢

4,542 traded · 2,931 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Knott v Barringer

Metric by metric
Knott
Barringer
86.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
16.0¢
$1.34M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.02M
$707.8K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$514.6K
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

North Carolina 13th District
Prior result
R+17.3

2024 general election, won by Brad Knott.

Fundraising
1.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.