Elections Intelligence

Susie Lee

NV-3U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Likely D Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely D

Lee is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Lee at 95.4¢ against O'Donnell's 6.2¢, up 8.4¢ since August 3. The two campaigns have raised about the same.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Lee · Democratic contract
95.4¢
▲ 8.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Susie Lee by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 87¢Oct 12
Susie LeeDemocratic · incumbent
95.4¢
Marty O'DonnellRepublican
6.2¢

16,337 traded · 9,816 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Lee v O'Donnell

Metric by metric
Lee
O'Donnell
95.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
6.2¢
$4.40M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$4.04M
$3.69M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.41M
U.S. Representativesince 2019
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Nevada 3rd District
Prior result
D+2.7

2024 general election, won by Susie Lee.

Fundraising
1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.