Georgia 10th District — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 26-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 96.5¢ today.

Safe R

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Fundraising · Lean RR 99.82-to-1 in receipts.Prior result · Safe RR+26.1 in 2024.Market · Safe RR 96.5¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.

Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

R 96.5¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

—

No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

R+26.1

Mike Collins (R)

63.05 — 36.95 · 2024 general election

def. Alexandra "Lexy" Doherty (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

R 99.82 to 1

Pamela "Pam" Delancy$23.1K

Houston Gaines$2.30M

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.