Mayes Middleton
TXWhat the Signal reads
Lean R
Middleton is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Middleton at 73¢ against Johnson's 25¢, down 15¢ since August 3. The polling average has Middleton ahead by 3 points, and Middleton leads 3.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Middleton · Republican contract
73.0¢
▼ 15.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mayes Middleton by name.
14,836 traded · 5,910 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Middleton v Johnson
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Texas Attorney GeneralPolling average
R+3
Average of 3 pollsters, September 11 to September 22.
Prior result
R+9.7
2022 general election, won by Ken Paxton.
Fundraising
3.1 to 1
Raised, through September 24.