Mike Flood · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Flood is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Flood at 83¢ against Backemeyer's 19¢, down 4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Flood ahead by 3.2 points, and Flood leads 3.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Flood · Republican contract

83.0¢

▼ 4.0¢since August 3

Aug 342 daily readings · high 92.9¢ · low 82¢Oct 12

Mike FloodRepublican · incumbent

83.0¢

Christopher BackemeyerDemocratic

19.0¢

independent lineNo candidate is named on this contract.

1.0¢

28,994 traded · 13,111 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Flood v Backemeyer

Metric by metric

Flood

Backemeyer

83.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

19.0¢

$2.37M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$592.2K

$1.56M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$290.6K

45%

Latest pollGSG, Fight for Nebraska sponsor · Sep 2

49%

U.S. Representativesince 2022

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Nebraska 1st District

Polling average

R+3.2

Average of 3 pollsters, May 11 to September 2.

Prior result

R+20.2

2024 general election, won by Mike Flood.

Fundraising

3.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.