Greg Cunningham
NM-2What the Signal reads
Lean D
Cunningham is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Cunningham at 8.5¢ against Vasquez's 92.9¢, down 2.5¢ since July 31. The polling average has Vasquez ahead by 3.6 points, and Vasquez leads 2.5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Cunningham · Republican contract
8.5¢
▼ 2.5¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Greg Cunningham by name.
52,308 traded · 35,550 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Cunningham v Vasquez
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
New Mexico 2nd DistrictPolling average
D+3.6
Average of 3 pollsters, April 28 to October 9.
Prior result
D+4.2
2024 general election, won by Gabe Vasquez.
Fundraising
2.5 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.