Richard N. Ojeda II

NC-9

CHALLENGER Lean R to Likely R Underdog

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Ojeda is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Ojeda at 19¢ against Hudson's 84¢, up 2¢ since August 3. The polling average has Hudson ahead by 6 points, and Hudson leads 1.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Ojeda · Democratic contract

19.0¢

▲ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Richard N. Ojeda II by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 27¢ · low 17¢Oct 12

Richard N. Ojeda IIDemocratic

19.0¢

Richard HudsonRepublican · incumbent

84.0¢

29,093 traded · 17,383 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ojeda v Hudson

Metric by metric

Ojeda

Hudson

19.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

84.0¢

$2.24M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$3.22M

$163.7K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.34M

42%

Latest pollLake Research, Sponsor unconfirmed (reported as a Democratic internal) · Sep 3

46%

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2013

The 2026 race

North Carolina 9th District

Latest poll

R+6

Lake Research, Sponsor unconfirmed (reported as a Democratic internal), September 3.

Prior result

R+18.6

2024 general election, won by Richard Hudson.

Fundraising

1.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.