North Carolina 7th District
DEFENDED SEAT
Also on the ballot: Maad Abu-Ghazalah (L).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 17-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 89¢ today.
Likely R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Fundraising · Lean RR 6.77-to-1 in receipts.Prior result · Likely RR+17.19 in 2024.Market · Likely RR 89¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.
Signal clarityHighas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 89¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
—
No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
R+17.19
David Rouzer (R)
58.59 — 41.41 · 2024 general election
def. Marlando D. Pridgen (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
R 6.77 to 1
Kimberly Hardy$293.8K
David Rouzer$1.99M
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle.