Ben Ray Luján
NMWhat the Signal reads
Likely D
Luján is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Luján at 98¢ against Marker's 1.9¢, up 1.9¢ since July 31. The polling average has Luján ahead by 16.5 points, and Luján leads 167.8 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Luján · Democratic contract
98.0¢
▲ 1.9¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Ben Ray Luján by name.
44,190 traded · 26,033 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Luján v Marker
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
New Mexico U.S. SenatePolling average
D+16.5
Average of 2 pollsters, August 28 to September 30.
Prior result
D+6.1
2020 general election, won by Ben R. Lujan.
Fundraising
167.8 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.