Trina Swanson
MN-8What the Signal reads
Likely R
Swanson is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Swanson at 14¢ against Stauber's 88¢, down 2¢ since August 3. Stauber leads 6.3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Swanson · Democratic contract
14.0¢
▼ 2.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Trina Swanson by name.
17,744 traded · 9,737 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Swanson v Stauber
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Minnesota 8th DistrictPrior result
R+16.1
2024 general election, won by Pete Stauber.
Fundraising
6.3 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.