Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NEW YORK

Jackie Mary Auringer

Republican · House challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY D — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 7.5¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · NEW YORK 18TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTPatrick Ryan (D)Incumbent
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 95.9¢ · R 7.5¢
LATEST POLLD+14<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.politico.com/newsletters/new-york-playbook/2026/08/14/republicans-revisit-the-22-crime-playbook-01037591" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">GSG ↗</a> (B-) 08-14 · n=500
STANDING · THIS SEAT
1:53fundraising ratio v Ryan · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$89.7Kraised
$61.3Kcash on hand
· Ryan: $4.72M / $3.12M CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary06-23 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled
COMPARE V RYAN ⇄