PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / WASHINGTON

Michael Baumgartner

Republican · U.S. Representative, Washington 5th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03

INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY R KALSHI · 82¢ · CHECKED Aug 27

THE 2026 RACE · WASHINGTON 5TH DISTRICTFull race page →

OPPONENTCarmela Conroy (D)Challenger

FTP RACE SIGNALLikely RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating

KALSHI · Aug 27R 82¢ · D 21¢

LATEST POLL · STALER+6<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.tavernresearch.com/research-and-writings//wa-05-baumgartner-leads-democrats-trails-independent" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Tavern Research ↗</a> 06-01 · n=578 · 87 days old

STANDING · THIS SEAT

+21.282024 general election margin — verified against official results

4:1fundraising ratio v Conroy · FEC period 07-15

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 07-15

$1.74Mraised

$953.8Kcash on hand

VOTE BAUMGARTNER FOR CONGRESS ↗

· Conroy: $396.2K / $74.5K CoH

BALLOT & DATES

Top-two primary08-04 · HELD

GeneralNov 3, 2026

Top-two field settled · both advancers on the November ballot

COMPARE V CONROY ⇄