New Jersey U.S. Senate
DEFENDED SEAT
Also on the ballot: Veronica Fernandez (other) and Joanne Kuniansky (other).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market has run well past this seat's history — a 16-point Democratic hold in 2020, priced at 98¢ today.
Safe D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Safe DD 98¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Prior result · Likely DD+16.3 in 2020.Fundraising · Lean DD 690.79-to-1 in receipts.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
D 98¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
—
No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
D+16.3
Cory Booker (D)
57.2 — 40.9 · 2020 general election
def. Rik Mehta (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
D 690.79 to 1
Cory A. Booker$18.87M
Justin Murphy$27.3K
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle.