Minnesota Governor — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market and the latest general-election poll carry this seat — Minnesota has no verified prior result on file.

Safe D

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Market · Safe DD 96.9¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Polling · Likely DD+15 — SurveyUSA, Aug 18.

Signal clarityHighas of 2026-08-27

The market moved 3¢ toward the Democrat in the last 7 days.

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

D 96.9¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

D+15

SurveyUSA ↗ A+ Aug 13 - 17 · n=661 LV D+15 INDEPENDENT

SurveyUSA ↗ A+ Aug 13 - 17, 26 · n=661 LV D+15 INDEPENDENT

Mason-Dixon ↗ A Jun 8 - 10, 26 · n=800 RV D+8 INDEPENDENT

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

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No verified prior result

The last general election in this seat has not been imported from an official state canvass, so the signal has no baseline.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

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Amy Klobuchar$3.44M

Lisa Demuth$543.9K

PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 03-31 · STATE FILING

Cash on hand at the period end, not money raised.