Elections Intelligence

Virginia Foxx

NC-5U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Foxx is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Foxx at 88¢ against Hubbard's 13¢, down 2.5¢ since August 3. Foxx leads 4.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Foxx · Republican contract
88.0¢
▼ 2.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Virginia Foxx by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 95.1¢ · low 87¢Oct 12
Virginia FoxxRepublican · incumbent
88.0¢
Chuck HubbardDemocratic
13.0¢

5,717 traded · 4,719 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Foxx v Hubbard

Metric by metric
Foxx
Hubbard
88.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
13.0¢
$1.66M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$394.7K
$3.37M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$99.8K
U.S. Representativesince 2005
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

North Carolina 5th District
Prior result
R+18.9

2024 general election, won by Virginia Foxx.

Fundraising
4.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.