Charlie Hatcher
TN-5What the Signal reads
Likely R
Hatcher is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Hatcher at 92.8¢ against Molder's 8.3¢, up 6.8¢ since August 3. The polling average has Hatcher ahead by 5 points, and Molder leads 3.6 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Hatcher · Republican contract
92.8¢
▲ 6.8¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Charlie Hatcher by name.
45,265 traded · 17,286 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Hatcher v Molder
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Tennessee 5th DistrictLatest poll
R+5
Impact Research, D-leaning firm, October 1.
Prior result
R+17.4
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Andrew Ogles.
Fundraising
3.6 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 17.