PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / VIRGINIA

John J. McGuire III

Republican · U.S. Representative, Virginia 5th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03

INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LEAN R KALSHI · 82¢ · CHECKED Aug 27

THE 2026 RACE · VIRGINIA 5TH DISTRICTFull race page →

OPPONENTTom Perriello (D)Challenger

FTP RACE SIGNALLean RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating

KALSHI · Aug 27R 82¢ · D 19¢

LATEST POLLR+3<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1EkjffKo5q9TcJ4GLK9LS-00iPmeBhGS5/view" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Expedition Strategies ↗</a> 08-18 · n=1,450

STANDING · THIS SEAT

+14.992024 general election margin — verified against official results

1:1fundraising ratio v Perriello · FEC period 07-15

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 07-15

$1.78Mraised

$524.4Kcash on hand

MCGUIRE FOR VIRGINIA ↗

· Perriello: $2.14M / $1.51M CoH

BALLOT & DATES

Primary08-04 · HELD

GeneralNov 3, 2026

R settled · D settled

COMPARE V PERRIELLO ⇄