South Carolina 7th District — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 30-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 95.1¢ today.

Likely R

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Polling · Toss-upR+4 — Blueprint Polling, Aug 5.Fundraising · Lean RR 5.79-to-1 in receipts.Market · Safe RR 95.1¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.Prior result · Safe RR+29.92 in 2024.

Signal clarityLow — polling and prior disagreeas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

R 95.1¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

R+4

Blueprint Polling ↗ B+ Jul 27 - 28 · n=557 LV R+4 D SPONSOR

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

R+29.92

Russell Fry (R)

64.9 — 34.97 · 2024 general election

def. Mal Hyman (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

R 5.79 to 1

John Gregory Vincent$297.3K

Russell Fry$1.72M

PULLED 08-25 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.