Sarah Trone Garriott
IA-3What the Signal reads
Toss-up
Garriott is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Garriott at 79¢ against Nunn's 23¢, up 13¢ since August 3. The polling average has Nunn ahead by 6 points, and the two campaigns have raised about the same.
The market
Garriott · Democratic contract
79.0¢
▲ 13.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Sarah Trone Garriott by name.
72,201 traded · 59,938 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Garriott v Nunn
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Iowa 3rd DistrictLatest poll
R+6
Ragnar Research Partners (R), R-leaning firm, March 14.
Prior result
R+3.8
2024 general election, won by Zachary Nunn.
Fundraising
1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.