Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / TEXAS

Katy Padilla Stout

Democratic · House challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT LEAN R — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 33¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · TEXAS 23RD DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTBrandon Herrera (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLean RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 70¢ · D 33¢
LATEST POLL · STALER+2<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.texastribune.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/TX23-PPP-poll.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">PPP ↗</a> (B) 03-19 · n=521 · 161 days old
STANDING · THIS SEAT
1:4fundraising ratio v Herrera · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$484.9Kraised
$171.4Kcash on hand
· Herrera: $1.94M / $309.0K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary03-03 · HELD
Runoff05-26 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled · I no primary
COMPARE V HERRERA ⇄