Amanda McKinney
WA-4What the Signal reads
Likely R
McKinney is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has McKinney at 93.6¢ against Duresky's 7.5¢, up 2.9¢ since August 3. McKinney leads 5.4 to 1 in money raised.
The market
McKinney · Republican contract
93.6¢
▲ 2.9¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Amanda McKinney by name.
32,274 traded · 14,819 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
McKinney v Duresky
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Washington 4th DistrictPrior result
52.0 to 46.1
Newhouse won 52.0% to 46.1% over another Republican (2024).
Fundraising
5.4 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.