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Russell Fry

U.S. House H architectural icon OfficeHouse Republican Likely to win
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY R KALSHI · 95.5¢ · CHECKED 1:29 AM ET
WHAT THE SIGNAL READS ON FRY
THE SEAT THEY ARE IN

Likely R

Russell Fry is the sitting U.S. Representative for South Carolina's 7th district and is defending it, a seat the band rates Likely R. The market prices their contract at 95.5¢ against Vincent's 9.8¢, up 2.6¢ across 25 observation days; the one public poll has them 4 points ahead; and they have raised 5.8 dollars for every one of Vincent's.

MARKET · PARTY WINNER Kalshi ↗
Russell Fry · Republican · KXHOUSERACE-SC07-26-R

95.5¢

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Russell Fry by name.

▲ 2.6¢

since Aug 3

2026-08-0325 observation days · high 96.9¢ · low 89.0¢2026-09-21
Russell Fry Republican · incumbent
95.5¢

Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

John Gregory Vincent Democratic
9.8¢

Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 19,793 traded · 4,616 open

Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET

FRY AGAINST VINCENT · METRIC BY METRIC
Fry
Vincent
MARKETchecked 1:29 AM ET

95.5¢

9.8¢

RAISED THIS CYCLEFederal Election Commission, through June 30, 2026

$1.72M

5.8:1 against John Gregory Vincent

$297K

WHAT THEY HOLD NOW

U.S. Representative

South Carolina's 7th district · since 2025 · defending it

Holds no office

Challenger

POLL STANDINGBlueprint Polling · (B+) · Jul 28 · n=557 LV

41%

4 points ahead

One public poll, and it is the only one

37%

THE 2026 RACE · SOUTH CAROLINA 7TH DISTRICT
LATEST POLLR+4Blueprint Polling ↗ (B+) 07-28 · n=557
PRIOR MARGIN+29.922024 general election · verified against official results
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+29.922024 general election margin — verified against official results
5.8:1fundraising ratio v Vincent · FEC period 06-30
FUNDRAISING
$1.72Mraised
$1.04Mcash on hand
through June 30, 2026 · checked Aug 31
· Vincent: $297.3K / $62.4K CoH
COMPARE V VINCENT ⇄