Elections Intelligence

Jeff Hurd

CO-3U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Lean R Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Hurd is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Hurd at 72¢ against Romero's 28¢, up 3¢ since August 3. The polling average has Hurd ahead by 3 points, and Hurd leads 4.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hurd · Republican contract
72.0¢
▲ 3.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jeff Hurd by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 72¢ · low 62¢Oct 12
Jeff HurdRepublican · incumbent
72.0¢
Dwayne RomeroDemocratic
28.0¢

66,156 traded · 54,142 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hurd v Romero

Metric by metric
Hurd
Romero
72.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
28.0¢
$3.55M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$716.6K
$1.76M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$84.2K
46%
Latest pollKeating Research, Romero sponsor · Jul 23
45%
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Colorado 3rd District
Latest poll
R+3

Keating Research, Romero sponsor, July 23.

Prior result
R+5.0

2024 general election, won by Jeff Hurd.

Fundraising
4.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.