Kevin Kiley

Ran for California's 6th District

Kiley is the independent nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Strong D edge. The polling average has Pan ahead by 9.4 points, and Kiley leads 1.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

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Democratic lineNo candidate is named on this contract.

100.0¢

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Republican lineNo candidate is named on this contract.

0.0¢

Richard PanDemocratic

no contract on this candidate in the market

Kevin Kileyindependent

no contract on this candidate in the market

The 2026 race

Polling

Pan +9.4

The polls had Pan ahead by 9.4 points across 2 pollsters.

Prior result

D+15.2

Ami Bera won this seat in 2024 by 15.2 points, 57.6% to 42.4%, over Christine Bish.

Fundraising

1.4 to 1

Kiley raised $3.72M to Pan's $2.55M through October 14.

California's 6th District race

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+3.8 → D+10.2

California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. Some of its Sierra base is traded for Sacramento-area voters. The new lines flip the district, going from Trump +3.8 to Harris +10.2 in the 2024 presidential vote.

The record this is read from ↗