Elections Intelligence

Janelle Stelson

PA-10U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean D Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Stelson is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Stelson at 80¢ against Perry's 22¢, up 4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Stelson ahead by 3 points, and Stelson leads 1.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Stelson · Democratic contract
80.0¢
▲ 4.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Janelle Stelson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 83¢ · low 76¢Oct 12
Janelle StelsonDemocratic
80.0¢
Scott PerryRepublican · incumbent
22.0¢

24,870 traded · 13,736 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Stelson v Perry

Metric by metric
Stelson
Perry
80.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
22.0¢
$6.36M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$5.19M
$4.48M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.85M
47%
Latest pollFranklin & Marshall · Sep 20
44%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2013

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 10th District
Polling average
D+3

Average of 3 pollsters, November 19 to September 20.

Prior result
R+1.2

2024 general election, won by Scott Perry.

Fundraising
1.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.