Georgia U.S. Senate — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market has run well past this seat's history — a 1-point Democratic hold in 2021, priced at 92.8¢ today.

Likely D

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Market · Likely DD 92.8¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Polling · Lean DD+7.5 — InsiderAdvantage, Aug 18.Fundraising · Lean DD 10.43-to-1 in receipts.Prior result · Toss-upD+1.23 in 2021.

Signal clarityHighas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

D 92.8¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

D+7.5

InsiderAdvantage ↗ B+ Aug 16 - 17 · n=800 LV D+7.5 INDEPENDENT

Fabrizio ↗ A- Jul 13 - 16 · n=1,060 LV D+9 R SPONSOR

Fabrizio Ward / Impact Research ↗ 07-23 · n=1,060 LV D+9 PARTISAN

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

D+1.23

Jon Ossoff (D)

50.61 — 49.39 · 2021 general election

def. David A. Perdue (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

D 10.43 to 1

Jon Ossoff$77.28M

Mike Collins$7.41M

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.