Bernadette Greene-Placentia · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Greene-Placentia is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Greene-Placentia at 16¢ against Hamadeh's 86¢, down 1¢ since August 3. Hamadeh leads 5.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Greene-Placentia · Democratic contract

16.0¢

▼ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Bernadette Greene-Placentia by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 21¢ · low 12¢Oct 12

Bernadette Greene-PlacentiaDemocratic

16.0¢

Abraham J. HamadehRepublican · incumbent

86.0¢

7,951 traded · 6,787 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Greene-Placentia v Hamadeh

Metric by metric

Greene-Placentia

Hamadeh

16.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

86.0¢

$209.4K

RaisedFEC, through March 31 and July 1

$1.21M

$190.4K

Cash on handFEC, through March 31 and July 1

$384.2K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Arizona 8th District

Prior result

R+13.0

2024 general election, won by Abraham J. Hamadeh.

Fundraising

5.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 1.