Chaz Molder
TN-5What the Signal reads
Likely R
Molder is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Molder at 8.3¢ against Hatcher's 92.8¢, down 5.7¢ since August 3. The polling average has Hatcher ahead by 5 points, and Molder leads 3.6 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Molder · Democratic contract
8.3¢
▼ 5.7¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Chaz Molder by name.
45,265 traded · 17,286 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Molder v Hatcher
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Tennessee 5th DistrictLatest poll
R+5
Impact Research, D-leaning firm, October 1.
Prior result
R+17.4
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Andrew Ogles.
Fundraising
3.6 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 17.