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PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / MAINE
Matthew Dunlap
Democratic · House challenger
CHALLENGER
ON THE 2026 BALLOT
TOSS-UP — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE
KALSHI ·
45¢
· CHECKED
Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · MAINE 2ND DISTRICT
Full race page →
OPPONENT
Paul LePage (R)
Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNAL
Toss-up
AI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI ·
Aug 27
R 58¢ · D 45¢
LATEST POLL
D+1
<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://x.com/PatrickSvitek/status/2079151831998230855" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Tulchin Research ↗</a> (B-) 07-20 · n=600
STANDING · THIS SEAT
1:2
fundraising ratio v LePage · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$1.21M
raised
$228.6K
cash on hand
DUNLAP FOR CONGRESS ↗
· LePage: $2.56M / $1.69M CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary
06-09 · HELD
General
Nov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled
COMPARE V LEPAGE ⇄