Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / CALIFORNIA

Derek Tran

Democratic · U.S. Representative, California 45th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY D KALSHI · 92.8¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 45TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTChuong Vo (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 92.8¢ · R 9.3¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+0.212024 general election margin — verified against official results
10:1fundraising ratio v Vo · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$4.98Mraised
$3.26Mcash on hand
· Vo: $495.8K / $74.9K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Top-two primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
Top-two field settled · both advancers on the November ballot
COMPARE V VO ⇄