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PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / CALIFORNIA
Derek Tran
Democratic · U.S. Representative, California 45th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT
ON THE 2026 BALLOT
LIKELY D
KALSHI ·
92.8¢
· CHECKED
Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 45TH DISTRICT
Full race page →
OPPONENT
Chuong Vo (R)
Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNAL
Likely D
AI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI ·
Aug 27
D 92.8¢ · R 9.3¢
LATEST POLL
Not yet collected
no qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+0.21
2024 general election margin — verified against official results
10:1
fundraising ratio v Vo · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$4.98M
raised
$3.26M
cash on hand
DEREK TRAN FOR CONGRESS ↗
· Vo: $495.8K / $74.9K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Top-two primary
06-02 · HELD
General
Nov 3, 2026
Top-two field settled · both advancers on the November ballot
COMPARE V VO ⇄