Elections Intelligence

Jennifer A. Kiggans

VA-2U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Lean D Competitive underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Kiggans is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Kiggans at 14¢ against Luria's 87¢, down 4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Kiggans ahead by 2 points, and Kiggans leads 1.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Kiggans · Republican contract
14.0¢
▼ 4.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jennifer A. Kiggans by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 24¢ · low 14¢Oct 12
Jennifer A. KiggansRepublican · incumbent
14.0¢
Elaine LuriaDemocratic
87.0¢

225,323 traded · 158,927 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Kiggans v Luria

Metric by metric
Kiggans
Luria
14.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
87.0¢
$5.95M
RaisedFEC, through July 15
$4.66M
$3.39M
Cash on handFEC, through July 15
$3.58M
47%
Latest pollTulchin Research, House Majority PAC sponsor · Jul 13
47%
U.S. Representativesince 2023
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Virginia 2nd District
Latest poll
R+2

Tulchin Research, House Majority PAC sponsor, July 13.

Prior result
R+3.8

2024 general election, won by Jennifer A. Kiggans.

Fundraising
1.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.