Lupe Castillo
IL-4What the Signal reads
Safe D
Castillo is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Castillo at 3.5¢ against Garcia's 97.1¢, unchanged since August 3. The polling average has Garcia ahead by 19 points.
The market
Castillo · Republican contract
3.5¢
Unchangedsince August 3
18,504 traded · 11,224 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Castillo v Garcia
Metric by metric3.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.1¢
No total for Lupe Castillo: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$358.7K
—
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$185.5K
15%
Latest pollThe Bullfinch Group · Aug 3
34%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file
The 2026 race
Illinois 4th DistrictLatest poll
D+19
The Bullfinch Group, August 3.
Prior result
D+40.2
2024 general election, won by Chuy García.