Tina Kotek
ORWhat the Signal reads
Lean D
Kotek is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Kotek at 76¢ against Drazan's 25¢, down 13¢ since July 31. The polling average has Kotek ahead by 2 points, and Kotek leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Kotek · Democratic contract
76.0¢
▼ 13.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Tina Kotek by name.
310,336 traded · 207,523 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Kotek v Drazan
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Oregon GovernorPolling average
D+2
Average of 3 pollsters, June 24 to October 4.
Prior result
D+3.4
2022 general election, won by Tina Kotek.
Fundraising
1.1 to 1
Raised, through October 4.