Elections Intelligence

Ceretta Smith

GA-12U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Smith is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Smith at 9.8¢ against Allen's 90.5¢, down 4.2¢ since August 3. Allen leads 37.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Smith · Democratic contract
9.8¢
▼ 4.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Ceretta Smith by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 15¢ · low 8.4¢Oct 12
Ceretta SmithDemocratic
9.8¢
Rick W. AllenRepublican · incumbent
90.5¢

21,078 traded · 10,509 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Smith v Allen

Metric by metric
Smith
Allen
9.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
90.5¢
$26.7K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$993.2K
$3.5K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.32M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2015

The 2026 race

Georgia 12th District
Prior result
R+20.6

2024 general election, won by Rick W. Allen.

Fundraising
37.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.