Jonathan Nez — Elections Intelligence

THE 2026 RACE · ARIZONA 2ND DISTRICTFull race page →

OPPONENTElijah Crane (R)Incumbent

FTP RACE SIGNALLean RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating

KALSHI · Aug 27R 70¢ · D 32¢

LATEST POLL · STALER+3<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/732200/dem-poll-shows-tightening-race-in-deep-red-territory/?unlock=QL98DIZZ54TZ6EJ5" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">GBAO ↗</a> (B) 06-25 · n=500 · 63 days old

STANDING · THIS SEAT

1:3fundraising ratio v Crane · FEC period 07-01

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 07-01

$3.52Mraised

$1.91Mcash on hand

JONATHAN NEZ FOR CONGRESS ↗

· Crane: $9.48M / $2.84M CoH

BALLOT & DATES

Primary07-21 · HELD

GeneralNov 3, 2026

R settled · D settled · L settled

Also on the ballot: Curtis Goodwin (Libertarian)

COMPARE V CRANE ⇄