Peggy Flanagan
MNWhat the Signal reads
Toss-up
Flanagan is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Flanagan at 88¢ against Tafoya's 13¢, down 4.9¢ since July 31. The polling average has Flanagan ahead by 2.9 points, and Flanagan leads 1.2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Flanagan · Democratic contract
88.0¢
▼ 4.9¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Peggy Flanagan by name.
1,843,092 traded · 1,457,409 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Flanagan v Tafoya
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Minnesota U.S. SenatePolling average
D+2.9
Average of 7 pollsters, September 14 to October 7.
Prior result
D+5.2
2020 general election, won by Tina Smith.
Fundraising
1.2 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.